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Tao, Junfan

Kyoto Institute of Economic Research (KIER) Senior Lecturer/ Junior Associate Professor

Tao, Junfan
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    Last Updated :2025/06/19

    Basic Information

    Affiliated programs (koza)

    • Graduate School of Economics, 経済学専攻 数量産業分析講座, 講師

    Faculty

    • Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences (ILAS)

    Email Address

    • Email Address

      tao.junfan.7jkyoto-u.ac.jp

    Professional Memberships

    • The Econometrics Society
    • 日本統計学会
    • 日本経済学会

    Academic Degree

    • 22 Mar. 2013
      横浜国立大学修士(国際経済学)
    • 14 Sep. 2018
      横浜国立大学博士(経済学)

    Research History

    • From May 2022, To Present
      Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, Lecturer
    • From Oct. 2021, To Apr. 2022
      Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research, 研究員
    • From Sep. 2019, To Sep. 2021
      Japan Society for the Promotion of Science, 外国人特別研究員 (京都大学 経済研究所)
    • From Apr. 2019, To Sep. 2019
      Yokohama National University, Graduate School of International Social Sciences, 非常勤講師
    • From Oct. 2014, To Sep. 2019
      Yokohama National University, College of Economics, 非常勤講師

    ID,URL

    researchmap URL

    list
      Last Updated :2025/06/19

      Research

      Research Interests

      • 単位根検定
      • Sequential analysis
      • Mathematical statistics
      • Time series analysis

      Research Areas

      • Humanities & social sciences, Economic statistics

      Papers

      • A Sequential Test For a Unit Root in Monitoring a p-th Order Autoregressive Process
        Kohtaro Hitomi; Keiji Nagai; Yoshihiko Nishiyama; Junfan Tao
        Advances in Econometrics, 24 Apr. 2023
      • Joint Asymptotic Properties of Stopping Times and Sequential Estimators for Stationary First-order Autoregressive Models
        Kohtaro Hitomi; Keiji Nagai; Yoshihiko Nishiyama; Junfan Tao
        KIER Discussion Paper Series, No. 1060, 2021
      • Sequential analysis of detection for unit roots in autoregressive models with p-th order
        Junfan Tao
        Ph.D. Thesis, Yokohama National University, Degree Number 28, 2018

      Presentations

      • An optimal invariant sequential unit root test
        Junfan Tao
        Summer Econometrics Forum, University of Tokyo, 09 Aug. 2023
      • Sequential analysis of detection for unit roots in AR(p)
        Junfan Tao
        Workshop on recent development in econometric theory and its application 2018, KIER, Kyoto University, 22 Feb. 2018
      • Time-changed method in non-ergodic autoregressive process and branching process
        Junfan Tao
        Japanese joint statistical meeting 2021 (Online), Oct. 2021
      • Sequential criticality test for branching process with immigration
        Junfan Tao
        63rd ISI World Statistics Congress 2021 (ISI WSC 2021) (Online), Jul. 2021
      • Sequential test for a unit root in monitoring a p-th order autoregressive process
        Junfan Tao
        2021 Japanese Economic Association Spring Meeting, Kwansei Gakuin University (Online), May 2021
      • The role of Bessel processes on the sequential test for a unit root in autoregressive process and criticality in branching processes
        Junfan Tao
        Statistics of stochastic processes Session, Bernoulli-IMS One World Symposium (Online), Aug. 2020
      • Joint Asymptotic Normality of Stopping Times and Sequential Estimators in Monitoring Autoregressive Processes
        Junfan Tao
        62nd ISI World Statistics Congress 2019 (ISI WSC 2019), Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, Aug. 2019
      • Sequential Estimation for Strongly Stationary AR(p) Process
        Junfan Tao
        Japanese joint statistical meeting 2018, Korakuen Campus, Chuo University, Sep. 2018

      Awards

      • 06 Sep. 2021
        ISI東京大会記念奨励賞(一般社団法人日本統計学会)

      External funds: Kakenhi

      • Bubbles and pandemic outbreak: Statistical monitoring and change point detection in non ergodic time series
        Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up
        0107:Economics, business administration, and related fields
        Kyoto University
        Junfan TAO
        From 31 Aug. 2022, To 31 Mar. 2024, Project Closed
        逐次検定;非エルゴート的過程;自己回帰モデル;単位根検定;分枝過程;臨界性検定;非定常時系列;統計的逐次探索;Type I error control;初期値;逐次探索;構造変化
      • Ranking and Selection under adaptive sampling
        Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
        Basic Section 07030:Economic statistics-related
        Kyoto University
        陶 俊帆
        From 01 Apr. 2025, To 31 Mar. 2029, Granted
        適応的実験;統計的推論;経験ベイズ;逐次解析;ランダム化比較試験
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        Last Updated :2025/06/19

        Education

        Teaching subject(s)

        • From 01 Apr. 2025, To 31 Mar. 2026
          Economy and Society II-E2
          H937, Fall, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2025, To 31 Mar. 2026
          Economy and Society I-E2
          H936, Spring, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2025, To 31 Mar. 2026
          Principles of Economics-E2
          H935, Fall, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2025, To 31 Mar. 2026
          Introduction to Economics-E2
          H934, Spring, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2024, To 31 Mar. 2025
          Economy and Society II-E2
          H937, Fall, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2024, To 31 Mar. 2025
          Economy and Society I-E2
          H936, Spring, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2024, To 31 Mar. 2025
          Principles of Economics-E2
          H935, Fall, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2024, To 31 Mar. 2025
          Introduction to Economics-E2
          H934, Spring, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2023, To 31 Mar. 2024
          Economy and Society I-E2
          H936, Spring, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2023, To 31 Mar. 2024
          Principles of Economics-E2
          H935, Fall, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2023, To 31 Mar. 2024
          Introduction to Economics-E2
          H934, Spring, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        • From 01 Apr. 2023, To 31 Mar. 2024
          Economy and Society II-E2
          H937, Fall, Institute for Liberal Arts and Sciences, 2
        list
          Last Updated :2025/06/19

          Administration

          Faculty management (title, position)

          • From 01 Nov. 2022, To 31 Mar. 2026
            資料委員会 委員

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